Based on my Atlanta backyard observations and record keeping, I found this year's first Tulip Popular flower windfall a few days early (day 93) - see my table below. I compared my first tulip poplar windfall observations with other spring surrogates. The National Phenology Network leaf out model is another way to determine if spring is early, on time, or late.
Spring Leaf Index Anomaly Map uses the first leaf out of cloned lilac and honeysuckle cultivars as these woody plants are among the first to leaf out or bloom and are common across much of the country. The model also uses temperature and weather events beginning January 1 of each year. The current spring is compared with a 1991-2020 average. The map shows that the 2025 Georgia Piedmont region's first leaf out day of the year is a few days early compared to the 30-year average.
Other Atlanta nectar sources at this time (not shown):
- Chinese Wysteria (invasive)
- White Clover
- Spiderwort
- Amur Honeysuckle (invasive)
- Dandelion
1st Tulip Poplar Windfall | Day of Year |
---|---|
10-Apr-2011 | 100 |
27-Mar-2012 | 87 |
19-Apr-2013 | 109 |
12-Apr-2015 | 102 |
15-Apr-2017 | 105 |
5-Apr-2018 | 95 |
11-Apr-2019 | 101 |
7-Apr-2021 | 97 |
6-Apr-2022 | 96 |
24-Mar-2023 | 83 |
6-Apr-2024 | 97 |
3-Apr-2025 | 93 |
median | 97 |
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